Core methodology

How to Check a Tipster's Track Record

A useful record lets you reconstruct what followers were actually advised before the event.

CheckWhy it matters
Every selectionCherry-picked winners can create a distorted picture.
TimestampShows the selection existed before the event.
Advised oddsNeeded to understand the stated result.
Odds availabilityFollowers need a realistic chance to obtain the quoted price.
StakeResults depend on how stakes are defined and applied.
Wins and lossesA complete record includes both.
Independent proofingStrengthens support for claims about previous wins or profits.

Sample size and selective periods

A short winning period may be real without being representative. Avoid treating a deliberately selected run as typical performance.

Strike rate is not the whole story

A percentage of winning selections does not by itself tell you whether a historical record made or lost money; prices and stakes matter too.

Never convert history into a guarantee

Historical evidence can help assess transparency. It cannot establish that future tips will win.

Apply this checklist to Red Dragon →